全部动态黄金全部动态

ECB keeps three key interest rates unchanged

The Governing Council of the European Central Bank decided to keep the three key interest rates unchanged, with the deposit facility rate, main refinancing operation rate and marginal lending rate remaining at 2.50%, 2.65% and 2.90% respectively. The statement said that the continued rise in energy prices poses upward risks to inflation and downward risks to growth. Underlying inflation has been broadly stable so far, and wages have not yet shown a significant reaction. The APP and PEPP portfolios continue to shrink at a predictable pace, and the ECB will no longer reinvest the principal of maturing securities.

Alphabet 跌幅扩大至 13%

Odaily星球日报报道，Alphabet 跌幅扩大至 13%。原文仅给出这一行情信息，未说明下跌原因或具体交易时段。

美国初请失业金人数录得 194,000，较前值减少 1,000

美国初请失业金人数为 194,000，较前值减少 1,000。数据来自 TradingView。

Alphabet 财报不及预期、AI 支出飙升，股价大跌

Alphabet 因财报不及预期且 AI 支出飙升而股价大跌。原文未披露具体财务数字与跌幅。

Intercontinental Exchange 将在美国本土引入 Trade[XYZ] 的永续合约市场

Intercontinental Exchange（ICE）周四宣布达成最终协议，将 Trade[XYZ] 的永续合约市场引入美国本土。Trade[XYZ] 是去中心化衍生品交易平台 Hyperliquid 上的现实世界资产永续合约市场部署方。

ECB keeps key interest rate unchanged at 2.5%

The European Central Bank voted to keep its key interest rate unchanged at 2.5%, in line with market expectations. Despite euro zone inflation rising to a three-year high, the central bank has chosen to stay on hold.

Same story, featured below《欧洲央行维持三大关键利率不变》

欧洲时段综述：美股期货下挫，市场等待美国PCE通胀、欧洲央行决议与亚马逊财报

欧洲时段美股期货走弱，标普500期货跌0.4%、纳斯达克期货跌1.1%，Alphabet财报重新引发对AI支出的担忧。现货黄金跌1.1%至$4,018，10年期美债收益率降2个基点至5.02%，WTI原油跌0.8%至$101.95。市场接下来关注美国PCE通胀数据、欧洲央行利率决议以及亚马逊财报。

美联储按兵不动后 Alphabet 财报拖累 AI 交易

美联储将目标区间维持在 3.75%–4.00%，以 10–2 的投票结果按兵不动，主席 Warsh 称增长健康但通胀仍高，未承诺 12 月加息。

U.S. core PCE rose 0.5% month-on-month in September, higher than expectations of 0.3%

The U.S. core PCE rose 0.5% month-on-month in September, higher than the expectation of 0.3%, and the previous value was 0.2%; it rose 0.3% year-on-year, lower than the expectation of 3.1%, and the previous value was 3.0%. The overall PCE rose 3.6% year-on-year, in line with expectations, and the previous value was 3.4%; personal income rose 0.2% month-on-month, lower than the expectation of 0.3%; personal expenditures rose 0.5% month-on-month, lower than the expectation of 0.6%. After the data was released, the US dollar was close to the day's high against the Japanese yen and the Australian dollar, but the exchange rate reaction was limited, and the market's attention turned to the artificial intelligence sector after Google's financial report fell short of expectations.

美国初请失业金人数194K，低于预期的199K

美国初请失业金人数录得194K，低于预期的199K，续请失业金人数降至170.1万，同样低于预期的172万。前值分别修正为195K和172.2万。初请与续请双双低于预期，显示裁员有限、失业者再就业加快，劳动力市场仍具韧性。

The initial value of U.S. GDP in the third quarter was 3.4%, higher than the expected 3.2%

The initial annualized GDP value of the United States in the third quarter was 3.4%, which was higher than the market expectation of 3.2% and slightly higher than the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow forecast of 3.3%. Among the sub-items, investment contributed 3.27 percentage points, and consumer spending contributed about 2.52 percentage points. Net exports were a significant drag, and actual final sales only grew by 1.7%, lower than the 2.0% expectation. The core PCE price index was 2.5%, slightly above expectations of 2.4%.

美国 GDP 增速超出预期 — TradingView

美国 GDP 增速超出预期。

汇丰第三季度税前利润增长32%但营收不及预期，宣布最多10亿美元回购

汇丰周二公布第三季度业绩，税前利润同比增长 32%，营收从去年同期的 $17.8 billion 升至 $18.6 billion，但低于 $18.93 billion 的预期，税前利润 $9.63 billion 也略低于 $9.69 billion 的预期。

Gold may rebound in the short term as concerns about growth and US-Iran conflict recede, and focus turns to FOMC

Giuseppe Dellamotta thinks gold may rebound in the short term as better-than-expected U.S. PMI eases growth concerns, worries about an Iran strike are dashed, and real yields fall. Gold is approaching the key support area of ​​3,885. If the price is in place, buyers may enter the market to rebound. If it falls below, it will look towards 3,500. The focus this week is Wednesday's FOMC decision, where the market is generally expected to keep the policy on hold and an unexpected interest rate hike will trigger a gold sell-off.

Foreign exchange market outlook for the week from October 26th to 30th

Preview of major central bank decisions for the week from October 26 to 30: The Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and Bank of Japan are expected to remain unchanged, while the Federal Reserve Bank of New Zealand and the Bank of Canada are expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points each. The United States will also release the core PCE price index and preliminary third-quarter GDP this week, and the market will focus on the resilience of inflation.

私募资金涌入国防科技，投资热潮引发泡沫警告

Private equity firms are investing heavily in defense technology, with investment growth reaching $4 billion in the first nine months of 2026, up from $500 million in 2024, while triggering warnings of a valuation bubble. PitchBook data shows that defense private equity growth deals increased from 15 in 2024 to 48 in the first nine months of 2026, accounting for 41% of defense private equity deal value. Malani, a partner at Advent International, said that some defense technology companies are overvalued and have a high risk of bubbles.

Preview of this week's five major central bank interest rates: market pricing is sufficient, focus turns to December policy signals

This week, RBNZ, BOC, the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan will announce intensive interest rate decisions, and the market has basically priced in. Traders are fully pricing in a 25 basis point rate hike for the RBNZ, about an 83% chance of a BOC rate hike, about a 91% chance of the Fed keeping rates on hold, a roughly 90% chance of the European Central Bank keeping interest rates on hold, and a roughly 98% chance of the Bank of Japan keeping rates on hold. Press conferences by central bank governors and chairs will be in focus as traders look for signals of further action in December.

10月26日纽约上午10点截止：EUR/USD期权到期关注1.1200与1.1250

10月26日纽约上午10点截止的期权到期中，EUR/USD 1.1200执行价距现货不足20个点，是主要关注水平。另有1.1250执行价，两者或令价格在1.1200-1.1250区间受约束；下方1.1190-00自上周以来有防守，上方1.1254附近为8月至10月跌势的23.6%斐波那契回撤位。除非出现重大头条消息冲击市场情绪与美元，这些到期水平可能强化上述位置。

石油下跌2%、黄金一度跌破$4000：大宗商品市场发生了什么

石油价格下跌2%，黄金一度跌破$4000。

Bitcoin slides below $80,000 as traders reduce risk ahead of Fed meeting

Bitcoin fell nearly 2% to about $79,800 in early Asian trading on Monday, falling below $80,000 as traders reduced risks ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting. Ethereum fell nearly 3% to above $2,300, XRP fell about 3% to $1.28, and other major coins were also generally lower. Traders are watching Wednesday's press conference to see whether Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh hints at a rate hike in December, which could tighten liquidity and further pressure cryptocurrencies and stocks.

Brazil ETF Tokyo drops nearly 15% as Lula reverses course to win presidential election

Lula defeated right-wing Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in the Brazilian presidential runoff on Sunday, with about 52% to 48% of the vote. The Tokyo-listed Brazil ETF fell nearly 15% during the session. In the extreme scenario given by Goldman Sachs, the U.S. dollar may rise by 10% against the real, long-term government bond yields may rise by about 200 basis points, and the Brazilian stock market may fall by about 15%. Market attention turns to the opening of the Brazilian local market, where the real, interest rate futures and Bovespa index will verify whether the selling continues.

Brazil ETF drops nearly 15% on Lula's victory

Brazil ETFs fell nearly 15% in Tokyo trading as Lula won Brazil's presidential runoff. Goldman Sachs said that under extreme circumstances, the U.S. dollar may rise by 10% against the Brazilian real, the Brazilian stock market may fall by 15%, and long-term government bond yields may rise by about 200 basis points. Meanwhile, gold is near three-month lows, oil prices opened lower after not upgrading over the weekend, and the market is focused on central bank meetings such as the Federal Reserve this week.

主要资产剧烈波动，黄金价格创下新低

主要资产出现剧烈波动，黄金价格创下新低。FXStreet 报道了这一走势，未给出具体价格、时间或涨跌幅度。

World gold prices continue to fall, hitting a three-month low

The world gold spot price closed down US$28 on October 23 to US$3,994 per ounce, the lowest since mid-July, with a cumulative decline of 4% that week. Rising oil prices triggered concerns about inflation and reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain high interest rates, which was the main reason for the decline in gold prices. The Federal Reserve policy meeting next week is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, and the market is pricing in a 78% probability of raising interest rates in December.

Gold loses support at $4,000, is sell-off overdone?

Gold's $4,000 support level has failed, and the market is beginning to debate whether the sell-off has gone too far.

AI infrastructure deals are in turmoil: New cloud vendors are under pressure, credit risks are rising, and SK Hynix’s Solidigm withdraws its IPO

AI infrastructure transactions have encountered turmoil. The stock prices of CoreWeave, Nebius, and IREN have plummeted this week, with declines of more than 30% in October. Solidigm, a subsidiary of SK Hynix, withdrew its IPO. CoreWeave CDS spreads expanded to more than 11%, and its unsecured note yields in 2031 and 2032 exceeded 15%; Meta's free cash flow in the third quarter was negative by more than 2 billion US dollars, the lower limit of annual capital expenditures was raised to 135 billion US dollars, and the five-year CDS hit a record.

Musk and Ukraine conflict accelerate demand for Starlink alternatives, but options few

Musk's conflict with Ukraine has accelerated demand for Starlink alternatives, but there are currently few alternatives. Ukraine accused SpaceX of limiting the speed of Starshield, causing its drone to be disconnected. A commander claimed that the loss exceeded US$1 million and the mission was delayed for three days. Amazon Leo only has 390 satellites, while Starlink has more than 11,000 satellites. The EU’s IRIS² is expected to be launched for the first time in 2029. Most solutions are difficult to match Starlink.

堪萨斯城联储10月制造业指数增速放缓

10月堪萨斯城联储制造业综合指数为11，低于9月的14，增长步伐放缓。生产指数为16，前值为20。该数据由地区联储周四公布。

AI疑虑推动债市反弹，Meta、IBM闪现警示信号

对AI可持续性、成本与商业回报的担忧重燃，周四投资者撤离股市尤其是科技股，转入美国国债避险，引发美债全面买盘，Meta与IBM闪现警示信号。

EIA：截至10月16日当周美国天然气库存净增 +77 Bcf

EIA公布，截至10月16日当周美国天然气库存净增+77 Bcf，总库存由前一周的3,567 Bcf升至3,644 Bcf。市场共识预期为80 Bcf；天然气期货（NG1:COM）上涨0.38%至$2.80/MMBtu。相关ETF包括UNG、BOIL、KOLD、FCG、UNL和HNU:CA。

SpaceX 与 Tesla 合并或通过被动资金流给 S&P 500 带来更多 BTC 敞口

Tesla and SpaceX have formed a special committee to explore a merger that, if completed, would create the world's largest stock by market capitalization and potentially gain higher index weighting and more passive capital flows. The analysis also links to MSCI's decision on Strategy, explains the importance of passive flows to Bitcoin finance companies, and discusses whether the merger is a workaround for SpaceX to enter the S&P 500.

黄金价格预测：美国允许卸载此前被封锁的货物，XAU 下跌 1.95% — Traders Union

美国允许卸载此前被封锁的货物，XAU 下跌 1.95%。Traders Union 发布该黄金价格预测。

Trading Education: Gold Still Falls As Yields Fall, A Lesson From Trading Market Trends

Gold was still down about $60, touching as low as $4,057.52, even as U.S. bond yields fell sharply. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield fell about 11 basis points to 5.03%, and the dollar was mixed, with dual tailwinds not fully established. The author uses the 100/200 moving average on the hourly chart to determine the direction, and points out that if it remains below 4066.21, the downside target area is 4000-4018, and sellers will continue to control before regaining the moving average.

U.S. initial jobless claims fell to 194K last week

The number of people filing for unemployment benefits in the United States fell to 194K last week.

Same story, featured below《美国初请失业金人数降至194,000，接近1960年代末以来最低》

U.S. initial jobless claims fall to 194,000, near lowest level since late 1960s

The U.S. Department of Labor reported that initial jobless claims fell to a seasonally adjusted 194,000 in the week ended October 17, close to the 189,000 in the week ended July 18, the lowest level since the late 1960s. Non-farm employment increased by only 29,000 in September, with an average monthly increase of 69,000 in 2026. The unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, but the layoff rate fell to 1%. The market expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in October and raise interest rates by 25 basis points in December.

黄金价格下跌36美元，油价上涨

黄金价格下跌36美元，同时油价上涨。

黄金跌至两个多月低点，更高更久利率预期施压

Gold prices fell to more than two-month lows, with expectations that interest rates will remain high for longer posing major pressure.

黄金价格跌破4100美元，通胀与利率担忧升温

黄金价格已跌至4100美元下方，通胀与利率担忧同步升温，对金价形成压制。上述行情来自 Asharq Bloomberg。

CoreWeave Market confidence dampened, bond yields surged, stock prices fell

CoreWeave is facing a crisis of confidence on Wall Street, with its shares down 29% this month, its market value shrinking to about $34 billion, and its unsecured debt yielding about 15%. Shares of similar neocloud companies fell simultaneously, Firmus canceled its IPO due to market volatility, and the high-yield bond market basically froze ahead of the midterm elections. The CEO memo said the company's financing model spans infrastructure-backed borrowings, corporate debt, equity and customer advances, but analysts expect its third-quarter free cash flow to be negative $10.1 billion.

British inflation rises to 3.5%, reinforcing expectations of interest rate hike

UK CPI rose by 3.5% year-on-year in September, higher than the expected 3.4%, the highest in a year, reinforcing expectations for the central bank to raise interest rates. Fuel prices rose 29.8% year-on-year, the highest since August 2022. Net energy import dependence makes the UK vulnerable to external energy shocks.