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Seeking Alpha Market Currents·· 29 天前精选AI 评分64

粘性CPI让美联储难有暂停余地,Pantheon Macro预计年底前再加息一次

Fed cornered by sticky CPI; Pantheon Macro sees another hike before year-end

AI 导读

Pantheon Macroeconomics berkata data CPI September meninggalkan Fed dengan sedikit ruang untuk berhenti seketika. CPI keseluruhan meningkat 0.6%, sejajar dengan jangkaan, dan CPI teras meningkat 0.3%, 0.1 mata peratusan lebih tinggi daripada jangkaan konsensus. Agensi itu menjangkakan satu lagi kenaikan kadar faedah sebelum akhir tahun.

Editorial Comment

The higher-than-expected core CPI narrowed the Fed's room to pause interest rate hikes, and the market's expectations that interest rates will remain high or be further tightened may increase, which logically puts pressure on the non-interest-bearing asset gold. Traders will need to pay attention to subsequent Fed officials' interpretation of the data and the reaction of the yield curve.

推荐理由

核心CPI高出预期0.1个百分点,压缩了美联储暂停空间,Pantheon据此判断年底前还会加息一次。

来源:Seeking Alpha Market Currents · seekingalpha.com

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