Where is gold going, and the key levels
Live gold price, the daily brief and Lin’s published calls and live trades in one place.
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Latest articles24
- Gold Outlook: Why Stocks Up but Gold Down? 4,000 CapsGold broke 4,000 on the close while the Nasdaq rose 1.6 percent and the Dow added 0.49 percent. That pairing is the whole story: capital rotated into equities rather than fleeing into bullion, and the dollar's two-session climb from 102.15 to 102.908 supplied the mechanical pressure. This piece walks the transmission chain link by link, from sticky core CPI and fully priced December hike odds through real rates to fading safe-haven demand, then lays out two counter-scenarios worth respecting. One is a weak claims print at 21:30 that reopens a rebound toward 4,050 and 4,066. The other is central bank buying, 321 tonnes in Q3, up 42 percent year over year, which should put real bids under the 3,800 to 3,900 zone. Levels, data timing and an explicit invalidation for each path are included.Nov 11, 2026
- Gold Technical Analysis: Double Top, 4,013 to 3,858 ScenarioThe highs at 4,148.60 and 4,146.696 fix the neckline at 4,026.038 and a measured target of 3,903, which overlaps the 3,900 Bollinger lower band and the lower edge of the institutional range. Two scenarios, each with explicit invalidation.Nov 11, 2026
- Gold Outlook: Core CPI 0.3% Three Months, Can $4,000 Hold?London spot at $4,048.74 as of 09:44 Beijing time on 11 November. October core CPI printed 0.3% for a third straight month and a 25bp December hike is fully priced. With 4,103 and 4,026 both gone, $4,000 is the only question left.Nov 11, 2026
- Gold Support and Resistance: 4103 Key Level Before CPIToday's low of $4,107.92 stopped $4.92 above the 4-hour 200-period SMA at $4,103, while $4,180 carries the 38.2% retracement and $4,182 carries the daily 20-day SMA and the Bollinger mid-line - two independent sources on one price, which is what makes a key level rather than a reference. The 63 dollars between them is vacuum, with $4,059, $4,051 and $4,042 clustered in a $17 band below. Daily RSI sits at 43 and ADX below 20, so breakouts deserve a discount. This piece lays out three scripts for the 22:30 October CPI print, a 2.7:1 long at $4,103-$4,108 and a 2.2:1 short that applies only after a valid break, each with invalidation, and explains why no breakout order belongs on a level the market has already tested four times. Both setups assume normal slippage on a data print and size at sixty percent or less.Nov 10, 2026
- Gold Forecast After NFP: 165K vs 65K, Why Only -0.4%October payrolls came in at 165K against a 65K consensus, unemployment fell to 4.1% and wages rose 0.4% m/m. Gold broke its $4,061 neckline within minutes and printed $4,025.87, then closed down only 0.47% — back above the neckline. The real story is the gap: December hike odds went from 68% to 77-78%, up 10 points, and gold refused to pay for it. Here is who is holding $4,000-4,030.Nov 6, 2026
- This Drop Was the One I Was Waiting For — Next Week Is the Dip to BuyFrom 4,193 to 3,876, gold fell 7.5%. This was not a crash — it was the expected pullback, driven by rate-hike pricing, real yields, and ETF outflows. The drop is done; 3,850–3,870 is the dip to buy next week.Oct 31, 2026
- 7 Times Global Crashes Rewrote the Gold-Forex Playbook (And What to Do Next)Aug 3, 2026
- 7 Macroeconomic Signals That Will Determine Gold's Next Big MoveAug 3, 2026
- 7 Liquidity Cycle Signals That Predict XAUUSD Moves Before They HappenJul 31, 2026
- 5 Key Levels to Watch as XAUUSD Tests $4,020 Support Before the Fed DecisionJul 29, 2026
- 5 Key Levels to Watch as Gold Holds $4,000 Before the Fed DecisionJul 29, 2026
- 5 Trading Lessons from The Big Short That Every Gold Trader NeedsThe Big Short taught me more about gold trading than any technical book. Five lessons that apply to XAUUSD in 2026.Jul 19, 2026
All articles12
2026
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- Understanding Market Structure: A Gold Trader's Framework
- Gold Market Analysis: Low CPI, Hormuz Crisis, and the Fed's Next Move
- How I Analyze Gold Chart Patterns
- Gold Market Weekly: The Week the Narrative Shifted
- Gold Support & Resistance Levels That Actually Work: My Daily Routine
- How I Trade Gold Breakouts: A Simple 4-Step Framework
- Deep Analysis: Gold's Four-Week Slide to $4,000 and the NFP Verdict
- Gold at $4,000: Buy the Dip or Wait for Lower?
- Gold Just Broke $4,000 — Here’s What Actually Happened