纳斯达克大跌可能不只是加息预期所致
Nasdaq’s selloff may have been driven by something more concerning than just rate hike expectations
Penulis percaya penurunan mendadak Nasdaq semalam mungkin bukan sahaja didorong oleh jangkaan kenaikan kadar faedah, tetapi juga isyarat awal bahawa pasaran mula lebih bimbang tentang prospek ekonomi masa depan. Selepas CPI teras A.S. melebihi jangkaan, jangkaan kadar faedah akhir menjadi dovish, hasil bon A.S. jatuh, harga tembaga juga jatuh mendadak, dan spread kredit telah mengeluarkan amaran selama beberapa minggu. Secara teknikal, Nasdaq jatuh di bawah garis aliran menaik utama, dan kami akan menumpukan pada tahap utama seperti 28,742 dan 26,971 serta pemangkin seperti Flash PMI, mesyuarat FOMC dan rundingan AS-Iran.
This news suggests that the market pricing logic may shift from simply responding to inflation to accounting for slowing growth in advance. The simultaneous decline in yields and weakening copper prices is worthy of attention. For gold, if far-end interest rates fall and risk aversion resonates, it will amplify the game between its interest rate and risk aversion properties; for the foreign exchange market, it is necessary to observe the relative changes in the US dollar between growth concerns and interest rate spread expectations. The subsequent Flash PMI, FOMC meeting and US-Iran negotiations are key windows to verify this logic.
原文把CPI后收益率下行与铜价下跌放在一起看，提示市场正从抗通胀转向担忧增长，并给出纳斯达克关键技术位。
来源：ForexLive · investinglive.com