L
LinUpdate
2026年7月5日 01:20Update Moment
📊 Gold Weekly Review & Outlook
The market formed a clear oversold bounce this week, driven by the weak NFP data on Thursday. US employment figures came in well below expectations, weakening hawkish Fed expectations and giving gold a strong bullish push.
Fundamental view:
• Short-term: Weak NFP → USD falls → yields ease → recovery window opens
• Medium-term: High-interest rate environment persists. Strong USD and elevated yields remain the main pressure.
Technical structure:
• Weekly: 8-week losing streak broken, but bearish channel intact. Support 3943, resistance 4330
• Daily: Clear recovery structure. Support 4080-4120
• 4H: Stronger momentum. Support 4120-4150, resistance 4220-4260
Next week's strategy:
1. Buy on dips 4120-4150, target 4200-4220
2. Sell only if 4220 fails with a reversal
3. Follow the 4H/daily bullish structure
Conclusion: Short-term bullish, medium-term bearish. Trade the recovery, don't confuse it with a reversal.