市场预期中国央行将 USD/CNY 中间价定在 6.6779
PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.6779 – Reuters estimate
Anggaran Reuters menunjukkan People's Bank of China dijangka menetapkan titik tengah USD/CNY pada 6.6779. Pada tahun lalu, bank pusat telah menetapkan kadar pariti pusat harian lebih lemah daripada jangkaan pasaran. Sejak Oktober, kadar pariti pusat telah mempercepatkan dan mengecilkan jurang dengan jangkaan, menunjukkan bahawa ia telah melonggarkan rintangannya terhadap peningkatan RMB. Jurang antara harga tetap dan jangkaan pasaran kekal sebagai tingkap yang jelas untuk memerhatikan toleransi bank pusat terhadap peningkatan RMB.
The central bank of China set the central parity rate at around 6.6779 and narrowed the gap with market expectations, showing that its tolerance for RMB appreciation has increased. This policy signal is a key window for USD/CNY traders to observe short-term exchange rate management intentions. Traders can continue to track the deviation of the daily central parity from model expectations. If the difference converges further, it may mean that the central bank is more inclined to let market forces dominate the exchange rate, thus affecting the linkage between the U.S. dollar index and gold.
原文拆解了 PBOC 中间价机制,并对比固定价与市场预期差距的变化,指出央行近期已从抑制升值转向渐进引导。
来源:ForexLive · investinglive.com