市场预期中国央行将 USD/CNY 中间价定在 6.6779
PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.6779 – Reuters estimate
Reuters estimates show the People's Bank of China is expected to set the USD/CNY midpoint at 6.6779. In the past year, the central bank has set the daily central parity rate weaker than market expectations. Since October, the central parity rate has accelerated and narrowed the gap with expectations, indicating that it has relaxed its resistance to RMB appreciation. The gap between the fixed price and market expectations remains a clear window for observing the central bank's tolerance for RMB appreciation.
The central bank of China set the central parity rate at around 6.6779 and narrowed the gap with market expectations, showing that its tolerance for RMB appreciation has increased. This policy signal is a key window for USD/CNY traders to observe short-term exchange rate management intentions. Traders can continue to track the deviation of the daily central parity from model expectations. If the difference converges further, it may mean that the central bank is more inclined to let market forces dominate the exchange rate, thus affecting the linkage between the U.S. dollar index and gold.
原文拆解了 PBOC 中间价机制，并对比固定价与市场预期差距的变化，指出央行近期已从抑制升值转向渐进引导。
来源：ForexLive · investinglive.com