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CoinDesk· Omkar Godbole·· 29 天前精选AI 评分62

比特币、铜、股票与美债收益率齐跌,黄金上涨

Bitcoin, copper, stocks, yields all fall; gold rises

AI 导读

Aset berisiko seperti Bitcoin secara amnya jatuh, niaga hadapan tembaga jatuh hampir 1%, hasil Perbendaharaan A.S. 10 tahun jatuh 8 mata asas kepada 5.08%, dan emas meningkat 1%. Pasaran mentafsir gabungan ini sebagai penguncupan dalam selera risiko, didorong sebahagiannya oleh kebimbangan mengenai stagflasi. Harga niaga hadapan CME telah menurunkan kebarangkalian Rizab Persekutuan menaikkan kadar faedah bulan ini kepada 29%, dengan peniaga menumpukan pada data PPI Khamis dan sama ada BTC boleh bertahan hingga $78,000.

Editorial Comment

The combination of the general decline in risk assets and the rise in gold and U.S. Treasuries shows that the market is trading on stagflation concerns rather than a simple recovery in risk appetite. The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates this month has dropped to 29%, weakening the short-term support of the US dollar, and gold's safe haven and anti-stagflation properties have gained a relative advantage. Whether subsequent PPI data and key risk asset levels can stabilize will be the key to judging the continuity of this risk aversion logic.

推荐理由

风险资产普跌与黄金美债上涨同时出现,原文给出收益率和加息概率变化,可作为判断短期风险情绪切换的具体参照。

来源:CoinDesk · coindesk.com

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