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CoinDesk· Omkar Godbole·· 29 天前精选AI 评分62

比特币、铜、股票与美债收益率齐跌,黄金上涨

Bitcoin, copper, stocks, yields all fall; gold rises

AI 导读

Aset berisiko seperti Bitcoin umumnya turun, tembaga berjangka turun hampir 1%, imbal hasil Treasury AS tenor 10 tahun turun 8 basis poin menjadi 5,08%, dan emas naik 1%. Pasar menafsirkan kombinasi ini sebagai kontraksi selera risiko, yang sebagian didorong oleh kekhawatiran terhadap stagflasi. Penetapan harga berjangka CME telah menurunkan kemungkinan Federal Reserve menaikkan suku bunga bulan ini menjadi 29%, dengan para pedagang fokus pada data PPI hari Kamis dan apakah BTC dapat mempertahankan $78,000.

Editorial Comment

The combination of the general decline in risk assets and the rise in gold and U.S. Treasuries shows that the market is trading on stagflation concerns rather than a simple recovery in risk appetite. The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates this month has dropped to 29%, weakening the short-term support of the US dollar, and gold's safe haven and anti-stagflation properties have gained a relative advantage. Whether subsequent PPI data and key risk asset levels can stabilize will be the key to judging the continuity of this risk aversion logic.

推荐理由

风险资产普跌与黄金美债上涨同时出现,原文给出收益率和加息概率变化,可作为判断短期风险情绪切换的具体参照。

来源:CoinDesk · coindesk.com

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