美元全面走强,技术面需关注哪些关键位
The USD is making a break for it. What do you need to watch technically?
Dolar A.S. meningkat secara keseluruhan berbanding mata wang utama, kerana harga pasaran Fed yang lebih hawkish mendorong hasil 2 tahun meningkat kira-kira 20 mata asas, dan hasil 10 tahun mencecah 5.0%. Pasaran kini menetapkan harga dalam kebarangkalian 14% daripada kenaikan kadar 50 mata asas pada bulan Disember, dan kebarangkalian 70% untuk kenaikan kadar Januari. Dalam video tersebut, penulis menganalisis tahap teknikal EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD dan AUD/USD, dan membincangkan sama ada rintangan awal boleh bertukar menjadi sokongan.
The core driver of the broad dollar strength comes from rates: the 2-year yield rose about 20 basis points in a single day and the 10-year hit 5.0%, combined with market pricing of a 70% probability of another hike in January, indicating this round of dollar strength has fundamental support rather than being driven purely by sentiment. For traders, what is worth watching is the validity of former resistance turning into support across major currency pairs, and whether short-end rates and the dollar index can stay in sync, which determines whether the current move is a trend continuation or a temporary correction.
文章梳理美元全线走强背后的利率与美联储预期变化,并给出主要货币对的技术观察框架。
来源:ForexLive · investinglive.com