Saham Asia jatuh lebih rendah pada hari Jumaat apabila penjualan saham teknologi merebak kepada aset berisiko di tengah-tengah kebimbangan mengenai potensi perubahan peraturan di Amerika Syarikat. Indeks Nikkei 225 jatuh 5.90% kepada 57,478 mata, dan kadar pertukaran yen adalah sekitar 157.8.
Musk berkata bahawa pusingan penurunan dalam saham A.S. ini jarang berlaku walaupun untuknya. Laporan itu menyebut bahawa saham A.S. mungkin mencatatkan rekod penyejatan nilai pasaran sehari kedua tertinggi, kedua selepas rekod AS$3.5 trilion pada 16 Mac 2020.
Selepas keputusan pilihan raya separuh penggal A.S. diumumkan, Bitcoin meningkat melebihi $80,500 apabila saham A.S. dibuka pada hari Rabu, dan BTC/USD meningkat lebih daripada 4%, melantun semula daripada paras terendah tujuh minggu. Niaga hadapan S&P 500 pulih daripada paras terendah tiga bulan 7,490 mata kepada 7,690 mata, dan The Kobeissi Letter menggelar penurunan sebelumnya sebagai "perangkap pendek buku teks."
After the midterm election results landed, Bitcoin and S&P futures rebounded in tandem from lows, showing the short-term restorative effect on risk appetite from the fading of political uncertainty. For gold, this kind of improvement in risk sentiment typically weakens safe-haven buying, but it needs to be observed whether the rebound can persist rather than being a one-day sentiment release. Traders should watch whether the linkage between US stock futures and crypto assets continues, and whether safe-haven funds show a phased return.
Kumpulan pengguna Korea Selatan Citizens United for Consumer Sovereignty merancang untuk memfailkan aduan dengan Suruhanjaya Perdagangan Adil Korea Selatan pada hari Khamis, menuduh Tesla mengelirukan pengguna apabila memasarkan perisian Memandu Sendiri Penuhnya di Korea Selatan kerana kebanyakan kenderaan yang dijual di sana tidak boleh menggunakan ciri tersebut secara sah.
The South Korean consumer group's complaint over FSD marketing centers on the mismatch between software functionality and local regulatory certification, which highlights that Tesla's software revenue is highly dependent on certification progress in each country. For traders, this is a regulatory and reputational risk event in a single market and does not constitute a short-term macro driver, but it is worth watching whether it triggers scrutiny of FSD advertising claims in other markets, as well as the cumulative impact of such non-financial risks on Tesla's valuation narrative.
Indeks Nasdaq 100 jatuh ke dalam pembetulan ketiga tahun ini, dan kebimbangan mengenai AI terus meningkat. Artikel itu menyebut bahawa penjualan saham teknologi pada bulan Oktober masih berterusan, dan bertanya sama ada ia akan terus bergerak ke arah pasaran beruang.
The Nasdaq 100 has entered its third correction this year, the tech stock selloff since October remains ongoing, and rising AI concerns are continuing to affect tech stock pricing. There is currently market debate over whether this round of selling will further develop into a bear market. Gold and forex traders can use this signal as a reference for observing cross-market risk appetite and track the potential impact of sentiment on the pricing of related instruments.
Pershing Square berkata dalam surat pemegang saham suku ketiganya bahawa perbelanjaan modal oleh Microsoft, Meta, Amazon dan Google akan meningkat daripada kira-kira $140 bilion pada 2023 kepada kira-kira $740 bilion pada 2026, yang merupakan pelaburan pertumbuhan yang menyinggung dan bukannya kos defensif.
Pershing Square characterizes the capital expenditures of ultra-large-scale cloud vendors as offensive investments, which essentially prompts the market to re-examine the free cash flow path of technology giants and the benefit structure of the chip supply chain. For gold and foreign exchange traders, the significance of this framework is that the technology capital expenditure cycle will affect risk appetite and US stock profit expectations, which will then be transmitted to the rhythm of safe-haven assets and the US dollar. It is worth tracking changes in capital expenditure guidance and free cash flow in subsequent financial reports.
Palantir melaporkan pendapatan sesaham larasan sebanyak AS$0.44 dan hasil kira-kira AS$2.31 bilion pada suku ketiga, kedua-duanya lebih tinggi daripada jangkaan pasaran. Syarikat itu menaikkan panduan hasil tahun penuhnya kepada kira-kira AS$8.53 bilion daripada kira-kira AS$8.15 bilion kepada AS$8.16 bilion, dan panduan hasil suku keempatnya adalah kira-kira AS$2.65 bilion, kira-kira 8% lebih tinggi daripada jangkaan pasaran. Hasil komersial A.S. adalah kira-kira AS$984 juta, dengan panduan setahun penuh untuk segmen ini meningkat kepada kira-kira AS$3.56 bilion.
Palantir’s Q3 revenue and adjusted EPS both beat expectations. More importantly, its full-year and Q4 revenue guidance was revised upward, especially the U.S. commercial revenue guidance, providing direct evidence for judging the resilience of AI software demand. For forex and gold traders, this will indirectly affect dollar and gold pricing through tech-stock performance and overall risk appetite. Going forward, attention should be paid to whether delivery against the guidance can continue to validate AI demand.
Saham A.S. melantun semula berikutan harapan kemajuan diplomatik antara Amerika Syarikat dan Iran dan penurunan mendadak dalam harga minyak. S&P 500 naik 73.99 mata, atau 0.98%, kepada 7,654.06, dan Indeks Komposit Nasdaq naik 332.28 mata, atau 1.31%, kepada 25,769.28.
The rebound in U.S. stocks was driven by hopes for diplomatic progress between the U.S. and Iran and a sharp fall in oil prices. The Nasdaq led the rally, indicating a return to risk appetite, which suppressed gold's safe-haven premium. At the same time, the fall in oil prices also weakened the logic of inflation trading. It is worth noting that the article juxtaposes manufacturing data with the key technical levels of the three major indexes, allowing traders to observe the sustainability of the rebound. If risk sentiment continues, the short-term appeal of gold and safe-haven currencies may weaken marginally.
S&P 500 ditutup turun hampir 2% pada hari Jumaat, dan VIX mencecah paras tertinggi sejak April sebelum jatuh semula untuk ditutup pada 19.4, naik hanya 2.2 mata. Brent Kochuba dari SpotGamma berkata kenaikan itu agak sederhana, dan berdasarkan penyelidikannya berdasarkan 126 penjualan sejak 2018, VIX sepatutnya meningkat kira-kira 2.6 mata.
The S&P 500 fell nearly 2% in a single day while the VIX only rose 2.2 points, lower than the average of historical sell-off samples. This shows that the options market has not priced systemic risks and the panic premium is limited. For gold and foreign exchange traders, this is more like a reduction of leveraged funds than a comprehensive increase in risk aversion. In the future, we need to pay attention to whether the VIX can continue to maintain a high level and whether safe-haven assets really receive capital inflows.
Nasdaq mengurangkan beberapa kerugiannya selepas penjualan mendadak yang diterajui oleh AI dan saham teknologi, kerana jangkaan pasaran untuk perjanjian AS-Iran meningkatkan sentimen risiko. Iran telah mencadangkan pada hujung minggu bahawa ia akan membuka semula Selat Hormuz dalam rangka kerja dua hari sebagai pertukaran untuk pelepasan sekatan, membekukan aset dan menarik balik sekatan, tetapi Amerika Syarikat masih belum menerimanya. Penulis percaya bahawa kejayaan dalam perjanjian itu boleh membawa kepada pemulihan, dan kemenangan Demokrat boleh menekan lagi pasaran saham. Secara teknikal, Nasdaq telah jatuh di bawah kawasan sokongan 28,800, dan sasaran seterusnya ialah 26,971.
The US-Iran agreement is expected to improve risk sentiment, but the US has not yet accepted Iran's proposal, and there are still uncertainties in the implementation of the agreement. Traders need to pay attention to the disruption to the pricing of safe-haven assets due to developments in the Strait of Hormuz. The Nasdaq has fallen below key technical support. Doubts about AI investment returns and inflationary pressures are compounded by mid-term election uncertainties. The sustainability of the rebound in risk appetite needs to be verified, and the gold and foreign exchange markets may fluctuate accordingly.
CNBC menyelesaikan potensi kesan pilihan raya pertengahan penggal ke atas sektor saham AS: Jika Demokrat memenangi mana-mana dewan, mereka akan memperoleh kuasa penyiasatan dan cip rundingan bajet, tetapi Trump masih akan mengekalkan kuasa luas seperti kuasa veto dan tarif. Statistik Morgan Stanley menunjukkan bahawa apabila Kongres dibahagikan di bawah presiden Republikan, S&P 500 meningkat purata 23% pada tahun selepas pilihan raya pertengahan penggal, berbanding 16% apabila Demokrat mengawal kedua-dua dewan, tetapi penganalisis di bank tidak percaya corak ini akan diikuti kali ini.
The midterm results will affect sector pricing mainly through policy levers rather than direct legislation: if Democrats take either chamber, investigative powers and budget-negotiation leverage would change expectations for policy-sensitive industries such as defense and healthcare, but Trump's veto power and tariff authority act as a hedge. Morgan Stanley's historical data shows US equities performed more strongly on average in the year after midterms under a divided Congress, but the firm explicitly cautions against applying this to the current situation; traders should watch changes in the policy-uncertainty premium rather than simply extrapolating historical averages.
The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell 7.2% in a single day and hit its biggest decline since June, reflecting a significant cooling of risk appetite in technology stocks. For gold foreign exchange traders, it is necessary to pay attention to whether such drastic adjustments in the equity market will trigger changes in the flow of safe-haven funds, as well as the transmission rhythm of risk asset fluctuations to the foreign exchange market and precious metals.
Harga saham Intel jatuh 29% semasa sesi dagangan pada 30 Oktober, prestasi sehari terendahnya sejak 1970-an, selepas syarikat itu memberi panduan untuk suku ini yang lebih rendah daripada jangkaan. Syarikat itu menjangkakan pendapatan sesaham (EPS) bagi suku ini ialah AS$0.25 dan hasil AS$15 bilion hingga AS$16 bilion, manakala penganalisis yang disusun oleh LSEG menjangkakan hasil lebih AS$17 bilion dan EPS sebanyak AS$0.43. Ketua Pegawai Kewangan David Zinsner berkata panduan itu telah mengambil kira kesan letupan kilang cip Israel, yang menelan belanja syarikat itu kira-kira $600 juta dalam dua suku tahun.
Intel's nearly 30% single-day decline is less a matter of earnings than a concentrated repricing of the semiconductor capital expenditure cycle by the market, and the loss from the Israeli plant accident included in the guidance further reinforces the supply-chain disruption narrative. For gold and forex traders, such sharp swings in tech stocks tend to transmit through the risk-appetite channel—watch for follow-on effects across the U.S. tech sector and safe-haven fund flows, though a single corporate event on its own is not yet sufficient to constitute a macro trading signal.
Saham Reddit (RDDT) jatuh kira-kira 29% pada hari Jumaat untuk ditutup pada $91.73. Mereka turun $37.87 pada hari itu dan mencecah paras terendah 52 minggu baharu pada $89.28. Keputusan suku ketiga platform sosial mengatasi jangkaan, tetapi panduan untuk suku keempat adalah lemah.
Reddit plunged about 29% in a single day and hit a 52-week low; the core driver was not the Q3 results but weak Q4 guidance, indicating that market pricing of high-valuation growth stocks has shifted toward sensitivity to forward guidance. For gold and forex traders, this is an observation sample of weakening risk-asset sentiment, and it is worth watching whether subsequent volatility in the US tech sector transmits to overall risk appetite, but a single-company event itself does not constitute a macro trading signal.
Indeks Komposit Nasdaq jatuh 2.86% untuk ditutup pada 25,437 mata pada hari Jumaat, prestasi satu hari terburuk sejak Jun, apabila keputusan suku ketiga yang lemah Intel meningkatkan penjualan dalam sektor teknologi. Indeks jatuh 5% pada bulan Oktober.
Nasdaq fell 5% in October, with Intel's weak performance triggering a sell-off in the technology sector, indicating a clear weakening in sentiment towards risk assets. For gold and foreign exchange traders, they need to pay attention to whether the correction of technology stocks evolves into a broader risk aversion, which in turn affects the relative performance of the US dollar and safe-haven assets; subsequent financial reports and changes in market sentiment are key observations.
Blackstone memberitahu Anthropic ia mungkin tidak menerima penarafan kredit gred pelaburan berikutan IPOnya, menurut Financial Times. Berita itu mengheret saham A.S. lebih rendah, dengan Indeks Komposit Nasdaq jatuh 3.06% kepada 25,382.18. Saham cip dan infrastruktur AI adalah antara yang paling rugi, dengan Intel jatuh 30.25%. Penganalisis percaya bahawa kekurangan penarafan boleh meningkatkan kos pinjaman dan menyempitkan skop pelabur hutang berpotensi, menambah keraguan pembiayaan kepada perdebatan perbelanjaan AI.
The key to this news is not Anthropic itself, but that the market has begun to incorporate the financing costs of AI capital expenditures into pricing: the lack of ratings means rising borrowing costs and a narrowing of the scope of debt investors, which directly affects AI chip and infrastructure stocks, and Nasdaq is obviously under pressure. For gold foreign exchange traders, it is worth paying attention to whether the sell-off in risky assets triggers changes in safe-haven capital flows, and the relative performance of the U.S. dollar and gold when credit concerns spread, rather than the single event itself.
Sebab kami memilih
材料把 Anthropic 的信用评级疑虑与 AI 板块融资成本、股价抛售联系起来,可观察市场如何重估 AI 投入的融资代价。
Reddit melaporkan pendapatan suku ketiga sesaham sebanyak $1.40 dan hasil sebanyak $895 juta, kedua-duanya lebih tinggi daripada jangkaan LSEG. Walau bagaimanapun, panduan hasil suku keempat ialah $1 bilion hingga $1.03 bilion, lebih rendah daripada unjuran Wall Street sebanyak $1.05 bilion. Harga saham jatuh lebih daripada 11% selepas loceng.
Reddit's third-quarter results exceeded expectations but its fourth-quarter guidance fell short of expectations. Its stock price fell sharply after the market closed, reflecting the market's increased sensitivity to the prospects of monetizing ads on social platforms. The planned test of forced login means that the platform is trying to reduce its reliance on search traffic and strengthen its own user assets. The effectiveness of this strategic adjustment will affect the pace of advertising revenue. For gold and foreign exchange traders, this is marginal information at the level of risk preference. They can pay attention to the transmission of risk aversion sentiment caused by fluctuations in the US stock technology sector, but a single company's financial report itself does not constitute a macro trading signal.
Rivian melaporkan keputusan suku ketiga 2026, dengan kerugian larasan sebanyak 48 sen sesaham, tiada anggaran konsensus sebanyak 62 sen, pada hasil $2.16 bilion, yang mengatasi anggaran $1.99 bilion. Rekod 19,248 kenderaan telah dihantar pada suku tersebut, dan R2 menjadi model terlaris; perniagaan perisian dan perkhidmatan memperoleh hasil sebanyak AS$605 juta dan margin keuntungan kasar sebanyak 42%. Perniagaan kenderaan mempunyai pendapatan hampir AS$1.55 bilion tetapi kerugian kasar AS$80 juta.
Rivian's losses narrowed in the third quarter and revenue exceeded expectations. The software and services business became the profit fulcrum with a gross profit margin of 42%, while the vehicle business is still at a gross loss. The differentiation of the business structure is worthy of continued tracking. For gold and foreign exchange traders, this is a micro signal on the risk asset side. It does not constitute a macro pricing driver in itself, but it can be used as an auxiliary reference to observe the sentiment and risk appetite of U.S. growth stocks, focusing on whether the subsequent vehicle gross profit can improve with the increase in R2 volume.
Pendapatan larasan suku ketiga Intel sesaham ialah 52 sen dan hasil ialah $16.51 bilion, kedua-duanya lebih tinggi daripada jangkaan penganalisis LSEG, dengan hasil naik 21% tahun ke tahun. Walau bagaimanapun, hasil pengkomputeran pelanggan dan perniagaan AI fizikal turun 5% tahun ke tahun kepada AS$8.1 bilion, dan pusat data serta hasil AI meningkat 78% kepada AS$7.3 bilion. Syarikat itu menjangkakan pendapatan bagi suku ini ialah AS$15 bilion hingga AS$16 bilion, dengan pendapatan sesaham larasan sebanyak 25 sen, lebih rendah daripada jangkaan penganalisis sebanyak AS$17.1 bilion dan 43 sen. Harga saham jatuh 21% selepas pasaran ditutup. Ketua Pegawai Kewangan David Zinsner berkata kelembapan PC akan berterusan sehingga sekurang-kurangnya separuh pertama tahun depan.
Intel's financial report showed clear differentiation: client computing business revenue fell by 5% year-on-year, and data center and AI business grew by 78%. However, the company's guidance for this quarter's revenue and earnings per share were lower than analysts' expectations. The stock price fell 21% after the market closed. The CFO even said that the PC slowdown will continue until at least the first half of next year. For traders, this reinforces the logic that the PC cycle is weakening and suppressing the chip sector. They need to pay attention to its transmission of risk appetite for technology stocks and the potential impact of changes in risk aversion on assets such as gold and the U.S. dollar.
Amazon dan Intel akan mengeluarkan laporan kewangan selepas pasaran saham A.S. ditutup. Pasaran akan menumpukan pada sama ada hasil AWS boleh mencecah kira-kira AS$45.4 bilion hingga AS$45.6 bilion, peningkatan tahun ke tahun kira-kira 38%, dan sama ada pendapatan larasan Intel sesaham kira-kira AS$0.41, peningkatan tahun ke tahun kira-kira 77%, boleh dipenuhi. Tinjauan perbelanjaan modal Amazon kira-kira AS$220 bilion dan margin keuntungan operasi AWS adalah kunci untuk menilai sama ada pelaburan AI boleh ditukar kepada keuntungan. Intel perlu menyediakan bukti permintaan pemproses pelayan dan kemajuan perniagaan faundri. Starbucks, Gilead Sciences dan First Solar juga mengeluarkan laporan kewangan pada hari yang sama.
The after-hours financial reports of Amazon and Intel will test both ends of the AI narrative: Whether AWS's growth rate and profit margin can match the capital expenditure of approximately US$220 billion will determine the market's confidence in the return on AI investment; Intel will need to prove its recovery with server processor demand and foundry progress. For gold and foreign exchange traders, the performance guidance of the two technology giants will be transmitted to the US dollar and safe-haven assets through the risk appetite of US stocks. The after-hours fluctuations after the financial reports are worth paying attention to.
Dalam siaran yang jarang berlaku di X, Stanley Druckenmiller berkata beliau "berbesar hati menjadi pelabur dalam perdagangan(xyz)" dan tidak sabar untuk menggunakan produknya untuk menambah baik proses pelaburan. Sebelum ini, TradeXYZ mengumumkan bahawa ia akan bekerjasama dengan ICE untuk mendapatkan kelulusan kawal selia untuk memperkenalkan pasaran kontrak kekal Hyperliquid ke Amerika Syarikat. Saham Hyperliquid Strategies ( PURR ) meningkat 19% pada berita, dengan volum opsyen melebihi 111,000, kira-kira enam kali ganda purata 30 harinya.
Druckenmiller's rare public endorsement, combined with TradeXYZ's cooperation with ICE to seek to introduce Hyperliquid perpetual contracts into the regulatory path of the United States, constitutes a signal of accelerated integration of traditional finance and on-chain derivatives. For gold foreign exchange traders, it is worth noting that if this type of regulated perpetual contract is implemented, it may change the distribution pattern of leverage and liquidity, as well as the spillover of market sentiment reflected in the sudden increase in PURR stock price and option trading volume. Subsequent follow-up should track the progress of regulatory approvals rather than short-term price fluctuations.
Harga saham Boeing jatuh 10.7% dalam sehari selepas laporan pendapatan pada 27 Oktober, ditutup pada $168.18. Pada 29 Oktober, ia melantun semula kepada kira-kira $173.60, peningkatan kira-kira 3.9% daripada harga penutupan hari sebelumnya. Penulis percaya bahawa $169 hingga $171 adalah kawasan sokongan pertama yang patut diperhatikan. Jika harga saham jatuh kembali ke julat ini dan kemudian stabil dan membentuk paras rendah yang lebih tinggi, ia mungkin membentuk asas jangka panjang untuk memburu murah; jika ia jatuh di bawah $165 dan lantunan gagal berulang kali, pertimbangan terendah akan menjadi lemah.
Boeing's single-day plunge of 10.7% after the financial report was a risk release at the individual stock level. The direct transmission to the gold and foreign exchange markets is limited, but it can be used as a reference for observing the risk appetite of U.S. stocks and the tendency of capital to avoid risks. What traders should pay more attention to is whether the sharp fluctuations in such heavyweight stocks will trigger the market's re-pricing of overall risk assets, thereby affecting the rhythm of the hedging allocation of the US dollar and gold. As for the support judgment of 169 to 171 US dollars, it only applies to Boeing stocks themselves and should not be extrapolated to precious metals or foreign exchange markets.
Indeks Komposit Nasdaq dan Indeks 100 Nasdaq kedua-duanya jatuh kira-kira 1.5%, kedua-duanya jatuh di bawah purata pergerakan 100 hari mereka. S&P 500 hanya jatuh kira-kira 0.50% dan memegang sokongan harian utama. Purata pergerakan 100 hari Indeks Komposit Nasdaq berada pada 26254.52, dan purata pergerakan 100 hari Indeks Nasdaq 100 berada pada 29559.42. Penulis menganggap kedua-dua purata bergerak ini sebagai sempadan antara risiko panjang dan pendek. Yang berikut memfokuskan pada julat 25831 dan 28822 hingga 28953. Reaksi terhadap laporan kewangan meningkatkan polarisasi, dengan Microsoft jatuh sedikit dan Alphabet jatuh kira-kira 12% disebabkan oleh naratif pelaburan AInya.