欧洲央行保留收紧可能,EURUSD跌破1.11135失败后反弹
The door remains ajar for ECB to tighten. EURUSD rebounds after break lower failed
The ECB kept rates unchanged, but Lagarde delivered a hawkish signal, saying this hold does not rule out a hike next time. EURUSD first broke below the double bottom around 1.11135 formed on October 14, touched a low of 1.1106 and then reversed higher to 1.1155, entering the 1.1152 to 1.11602 swing zone, with the downward-sloping 100-hour moving average at 1.11616 above. If it holds above 1.11616, the next targets are 1.11845 and 1.11913; if it stalls and pulls back, focus returns to 1.11130 to 1.11135 and 1.1106.
The ECB held rates but Lagarde's hawkish signal let the euro quickly recover after breaking below a key double bottom, showing the market is repricing the policy path. Traders need to watch whether the pair can hold near the 100-hour moving average, which determines whether the rebound is a technical repair or a trend change; if it stalls and pulls back, focus will return to the prior low area. The linkage of this news to the dollar index and gold is worth noting.
文章把欧洲央行鹰派按兵不动与EURUSD假突破失败结合,给出1.1152至1.11616等关键位,便于判断反弹能否延续。
来源:ForexLive · investinglive.com