美联储10月加息概率回落至30%以下

The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates in October dropped from 50% to 27.1% in a single day, indicating that the market's pricing of the short-term tightening path has significantly cooled down. This change may ease the dollar's support from interest rate expectations and affect the holding cost logic of non-interest-bearing assets such as gold. Traders need to pay attention to whether subsequent statements from Federal Reserve officials and economic data will further revise this expectation.