L
LinUpdate
2026年7月5日 01:20Update Moment
📊 Gold Weekly Review & Next Week’s Outlook
This week, gold staged a clear recovery from oversold conditions. Thursday’s US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) came in well below expectations, pushing back hawkish Fed bets and giving gold a strong bid.
Fundamental Analysis:
• Short-term: NFP miss → USD weakness → yields easing → room for gold to recover
• Medium-term: High interest rate environment remains intact. A strong dollar and elevated yields continue to cap gold’s upside. Q2 is shaping up to be the worst quarterly performance in years.
Technical Structure:
• Weekly: Eight-week losing streak snapped, but downtrend remains intact. Support at 3943, resistance at 4330
• Daily: Clear bullish recovery underway. Support at 4080-4120
• 4-hour: Strongest momentum. MACD expanding. Support at 4120-4150, resistance at 4220-4260
Next Week’s Strategy:
1. Buy dips into 4120-4150, target 4200-4220
2. Only sell on failure at 4220 with a confirmed reversal
3. Follow the bullish structure on the 4H/daily timeframe
Conclusion: Short-term bullish, medium-term bearish. Trade the recovery, but don’t mistake it for a trend reversal.
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Thought7/28/2026
$4026。日线趋势还是看涨的,但H4呢?$4050这个位置压得死死的,离突破还远着呢。 真正的关键在$3980、$4000附近,那里有个斐波那契集群。每次我看到这个区域,呼吸都会停一停。能守住的话,新高就是时间问题。要是跌破了——我会直接做空到$3920。就这么简单。 我不预测,我只准备。 --- 说实话,这十年我追高黄金历史新高被套了三次。三次啊。你以为我第一次就该长记性了?并没有。
Thought7/28/2026
黄金报4044美元。历史新高。 你知道我看到大多数人在这个位置在干嘛吗?直接僵住了。就坐在那儿等什么神奇的"确认"信号。等他们觉得图表安全了,行情早走完了。 说实话,这事儿我太熟了。黄金还在2100的时候我就经历过。我的交易框架?一点没变过。 看盘第一件事:日线趋势。 价格没给出有效的更低高点之前,就是看涨。就这么简单。