Signal Moment

In a market that's clearly bullish, here's how I handle position averaging and sizing. Let me use today's ETH as an example. Price touched 1953, but the real resistance? 1946. So last night, I put my first short in at 1944. Below 1946, my dip-buying levels are: 1918, 1904, and 1888. I won't touch anything until price hits those. In a bullish-leaning market, you don't want your pullback entries too close to current price—at least 26 pips away. Here's the thing about sizing. Say I'm holding 20% of my account at 25x leverage. Across those three dip levels, my total additional position shouldn't exceed 10% of my account. So if I've got 10,000u and I'm trading two coins, ETH alone gets no more than 2,000u. My daily position? Just 400–600u. Averaging stays under 300u. But if I'm only trading ETH with that 10,000u? Different story. Daily position can go to 1,500–2,000u. In a strong one-sided uptrend, I'll push it to 2,500–3,000u. That way, holding long-term trend-following longs is basically worry-free. Look, on the way up, there's always pullbacks. Always. But as long as it doesn't reverse into a one-sided downtrend, the risk is minimal—or even zero loss. When price breaks out directly and I'm already floating 50+ pips in profit, I'll take partial profits and re-enter at market price. At that point, my defense becomes a cost-price stop loss. Current defense? Reduce position if it breaks below 1880. Don't touch anything above 1900. Today marks the second test of 1946. The door to 2000 is wide open. ETH's rebound tends to lag a bit—as long as BTC doesn't change direction, whether it's consolidating or making a weak pullback, ETH could catch up. Last night, a lot of friends thought ETH was weak. Wanted to short it at 1900. I told them: wait. It'll catch up. Stay patient. Hold your position.