L
LinUpdate
July 5, 2026 at 01:20 AMUpdate Moment
📊 Gold Weekly Review & Outlook
The market formed a clear oversold recovery this week, driven by Thursday's weak NFP. US jobs data missed expectations sharply, weakening hawkish Fed expectations and giving gold a strong bullish boost.
Fundamental view:
• Short-term: NFP miss → USD pullback → yield relief → gold recovery window
• Medium-term: High-rate environment persists. Strong USD and yields remain the dominant drag. Q2 saw gold's worst quarterly performance in years (nearly 30% max drawdown).
Technical structure:
• Weekly: 8-week losing streak halted, but downtrend intact. Key support 3943, resistance 4330 — below this, all rallies are corrective.
• Daily: Clear bullish recovery. Price above all MAs, Bollinger mid-band reclaimed. Support 4080-4120.
• 4H: Strongest momentum. MACD expanding, higher highs. Support 4120-4150, resistance 4220-4260.
Next week plan:
1. Long on dips 4120-4150, target 4200-4220
2. Short only if price fails at 4220 with reversal
3. Core bias: follow 4H/daily bullish structure for longs
Bottom line: short-term bullish, medium-term bearish divergence. Trade the recovery, don't confuse it with a reversal.
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Thought7/5/2026
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Signal7/2/2026
```mongolian Алтны арилжаа 1-р төлөвлөгөө: Үнэ 4069.5-д хүрэхэд урт байрлал нээнэ. Стоп лосс 4052, 4080-д ашгаа түгжиж, дараа нь 4160/4240-ыг харна. 2-р төлөвлөгөө: Хэрэв үнэ 4069.5-д хүрэхгүй бол 4044-д богино байрлал нээнэ. Стоп лосс 4060, доош 3886-г харна. ```
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