巴西ETF东京下跌近15%，卢拉逆转赢得总统大选
Brazil ETF tumbles nearly 15% in Tokyo after Lula’s comeback runoff win
Lula mengalahkan Senator sayap kanan Flavio Bolsonaro dalam pemilihan presiden Brasil pada hari Minggu, dengan perolehan sekitar 52% hingga 48% suara. ETF Brasil yang terdaftar di Tokyo turun hampir 15% selama sesi tersebut. Dalam skenario ekstrim yang diberikan oleh Goldman Sachs, dolar AS mungkin akan naik sebesar 10% terhadap nilai sebenarnya, imbal hasil obligasi pemerintah jangka panjang mungkin akan meningkat sekitar 200 basis poin, dan pasar saham Brasil mungkin akan turun sekitar 15%. Perhatian pasar beralih ke pembukaan pasar lokal Brasil, di mana kontrak riil, suku bunga berjangka, dan indeks Bovespa akan memverifikasi apakah penjualan terus berlanjut.
After Lula won the election, Brazilian assets faced repricing pressure. The Tokyo Brazil ETF fell nearly 15% during the session, indicating that the risk aversion sentiment of overseas investors has significantly increased. Under Goldman Sachs' extreme scenario, there is a significant risk of fluctuations in the dollar against the real and long-term government bond yields, and the market focus turns to the verification of selling by the real and interest rate futures after the local opening in Brazil. Foreign exchange traders need to be alert to the disruption of emerging market risk sentiment to the U.S. dollar, and the safe-haven properties of gold may also come under scrutiny in this process.
卢拉胜选为巴西资产带来重新定价风险，东京ETF已下跌近15%，高盛极端情景显示美元兑雷亚尔或涨10%、长端收益率或升约200个基点。
来源：ForexLive · investinglive.com