今日图表:EUR/CHF 本周反弹,但法德国债利差警示欧元风险未消
Chart of the day: EUR/CHF bounces this week but French bond spreads warn euro risks aren't over
EUR/CHF telah memantul di sekitar 0,9300 minggu ini, namun risiko euro belum terangkat. Spread imbal hasil obligasi Perancis-Jerman tetap berada di sekitar 141 bps, mendekati level tertinggi baru-baru ini yaitu 150 bps, karena kekhawatiran fiskal Perancis masih berlanjut. Perhatian lanjutan akan diberikan pada IHK AS besok. Pembacaan yang hangat mungkin mendorong imbal hasil obligasi AS lebih tinggi dan sekali lagi berdampak positif bagi franc Swiss.
The rebound of EUR/CHF coexists with the high interest rate spread between France and Germany, indicating that the short-term repair of the euro against the Swiss franc has not eliminated the structural pressure of French fiscal risks. Traders should pay attention to whether interest rate spreads are moving closer to 150bps again, and the potential transmission of U.S. CPI data to U.S. bond yields and Swiss franc safe-haven demand.
作者将 EUR/CHF 本周在 0.9300 附近的反弹与法德国债利差高位对照,提示欧元风险尚未解除,并给出下破后的关键观察位。
来源:ForexLive · investinglive.com