越南金条价格跌破1.4亿越南盾
11月11日上午,SJC金条报价降至每两136.5-139.5百万越南盾,较前一日下跌近150万盾,创月初以来最低。SJC金戒指报135.3-139.3百万盾,PNJ报134.7-138.9百万盾,DOJI报135.2-139.2百万盾。国际现货黄金交投于4050美元/盎司下方,国内外价差维持近1400万盾。
11月11日上午,SJC金条报价降至每两136.5-139.5百万越南盾,较前一日下跌近150万盾,创月初以来最低。SJC金戒指报135.3-139.3百万盾,PNJ报134.7-138.9百万盾,DOJI报135.2-139.2百万盾。国际现货黄金交投于4050美元/盎司下方,国内外价差维持近1400万盾。
新加坡金融管理局周二推出面向外国央行及主权实体的黄金托管服务,初始容量500公吨,并计划对托管、精炼、重铸、检测和经纪等部分批发黄金服务实施免税。新加坡还计划在2027年第一季度启动实物黄金清算系统。伦敦金库截至10月底存放约9,850公吨黄金,香港也在扩建黄金存储与清算设施,新加坡能否突围仍待观察。
Pada penutupan perdagangan tanggal 9 November, emas spot internasional naik US$69 menjadi US$4.139 per ounce, minyak mentah Brent turun 5,8%, hampir US$6 menjadi US$92,5 per barel, dan minyak mentah AS turun lebih dari 4% menjadi US$86,8. Harga minyak turun karena Presiden AS Trump meremehkan kemungkinan melanjutkan serangan terhadap Iran, sementara melemahnya dolar AS dan meredanya kekhawatiran inflasi untuk sementara mendukung harga emas.
Editorial Comment
Gold and oil moved in opposite directions on the same day, reflecting how a weaker dollar, temporarily cooling inflation concerns, and a retreat in geopolitical risk premium are jointly reshaping cross-asset pricing. Traders can monitor the interplay among the dollar, Federal Reserve rate-hike expectations, and energy-price pass-through, rather than judging gold solely by its own supply and demand. This combination means the market is still repeatedly weighing rate-hike and inflation risks, and precious metals may continue to be driven by changes in the dollar and oil-price expectations.
Alasan kami memilih
文章将金价上涨与美元走弱、油价回落及美联储加息预期放在同一交易日中观察,便于理解贵金属与能源市场的联动。
11月4日下午,现货黄金每盎司上涨100美元至4029美元,原因是美国中期选举后民主党掌控国会,美元走弱、美债收益率下行。Capital.com分析师Kyle Rodda称,投资者认为选举结果可能引发政府与国会摩擦,从而抑制公共支出;Pepperstone的Chris Weston提到避险需求上升。
美国中期选举早期计票显示民主党在参众两院领先,亚太市场周三大幅下跌,AI相关股票遭抛售,日经指数跌4.4%,韩国Kospi跌3.3%。标普500电子迷你期货在7,510附近、纳斯达克期货在27,710附近交易,市场担忧AI与数据中心投资面临更多阻力。
Dewan Emas Dunia memperkirakan bahwa permintaan emas India akan turun menjadi sekitar 650 ton pada tahun 2026, terendah sejak tahun 2020. Harga yang tinggi dan lemahnya musim hujan telah menekan pembelian perhiasan dan investasi. Pada kuartal September 2026, permintaan India turun 29% tahun-ke-tahun menjadi sekitar 160 ton, dimana permintaan perhiasan turun 20% dan permintaan investasi turun 40%. Sachin Jain, ketua asosiasi bisnis India, mengatakan permintaan akan meningkat selama musim festival dan pernikahan pada bulan Desember, namun harga yang tinggi dan lemahnya perekonomian pedesaan akan membatasi tingkat pemulihan.
Editorial Comment
The World Gold Council's quantitative forecast for India's demand in 2026 provides a clear reference for assessing the suppression of high prices on physical consumption: the weak monsoon coupled with high gold prices, jewelry and investment buying have weakened simultaneously, and the decline in investment demand has been particularly prominent. For traders, the weakness of India, the traditional demand engine, means that the physical support for gold prices has weakened. In the future, they need to pay attention to the actual recovery of the December festival and wedding season, as well as the impact of the pace of rural economic recovery on demand elasticity.
Alasan kami memilih
世界黄金协会对印度2026年需求的预测,为判断高价对实物消费的抑制程度提供了具体参照。