CME美联储观察显示美联储12月加息25个基点概率为88.5%
美联储12月加息25个基点的概率为88.5%
CME FedWatch shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in December is 0%, the probability of a 25 bp rate hike is 88.5%, and the probability of a 50 bp rate hike is 11.5%. It also shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged next January is 0%, while the probabilities of cumulative rate hikes of 25, 50, and 75 bp are 33.6%, 59.2%, and 7.1%, respectively.
CME FedWatch shows that the market has formed a strong consensus around a 25 bp rate hike in December, and the probability of further interest rate increases next January is not low. The short-term interest rate path remains the core pricing variable for gold and foreign exchange markets. Traders can monitor how subsequent economic data and Federal Reserve statements change the probabilities for each rate-hike tier, especially the impact of marginal changes in expectations on real interest rates and dollar assets.
材料呈现CME美联储观察公布的美联储12月及明年1月各档位加息概率，可帮助读者了解当前市场对美联储短期利率走向的预期。
来源：界面新闻 · jiemian.com