垃圾债市场闪烁黄灯,这些警示信号需警惕
Junk bonds are 'flashing yellow.' Watch these warning signs
Cracks appeared in the high-yield bond market, with yields rising to 8.1% from 7.22% a month ago, and the overall spread reaching 315 basis points, but experts said it was only a "flashing yellow light" and far from red. The pressure is mainly concentrated on the lowest-rated bonds of CCC and below. The interest spread has risen sharply to about 1,250 basis points in the past year, while the BB-grade spread is 194 basis points. The interviewed strategists said that the spread expansion is still orderly, and recommended that single B-grade opportunities be selected among high-yield bonds.
High-yield bond stratification data provides a window to observe the transmission of credit risk: the spread of CCC grade has risen to about 1,250 basis points while the BB grade is still relatively mild, indicating that the pressure is currently concentrated on the lowest rating and the risk has not yet been systemized. For gold and foreign exchange markets, such signals mean that risk aversion may increase but to a controllable extent. Traders should pay attention to whether credit spreads spread to high ratings and the potential disruption to global liquidity expectations.
文章分档给出高收益债收益率与息差变化,提供了从BB和CCC层观察风险是否向整体市场扩散的对照线索。
来源:CNBC Top News · cnbc.com