美国10月CPI环比增长0.4%，高于市场预期
The US October CPI rose 0.4% month-on-month, above the market expectation of 0.3%, compared with a previous increase of 0.6%. Because the October 2025 federal government shutdown prevented price data collection from being completed, this monthly release does not include the year-on-year increase. The market-implied probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 84.2%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 15.8%.
The US October CPI rose 0.4% m/m; the pace eased from the previous reading but remained above market expectations. As data collection was incomplete due to the federal government shutdown, this release did not include the year-on-year increase, so the reference weight of the single month's month-on-month performance has correspondingly increased. The market's implied probability of a 25 bp Fed rate hike in December is now 84.2%. Traders can use this to judge the short-term monetary policy direction and monitor how changes in expectations affect the gold and forex markets.
同一新闻，精选展示《美国10月CPI上涨0.4%超预期 核心CPI上涨0.3%》
来源：界面新闻 · jiemian.com