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#趋势交易
11月12日周四
  1. ForexLive52

    U.S. stocks hit new intraday highs, with Nasdaq and S&P 500 returning above key moving averages

    U.S. stocks continued their gains and hit new intraday highs, with the Nasdaq Composite Index and the Nasdaq 100 Index gapping back above their 200-day moving average and 38.2% retracement level. The S&P 500 index rebounded to around 7635, regaining the 100-day moving average of 7621.82 and the 200 K-line moving average of 7622.85 in the 4-hour chart. The 7622 area has become the short-term risk boundary. The key resistance above the Nasdaq Composite Index is 25831.74, and the next target range for the Nasdaq 100 Index is 28822.67 to 28953.26.

    Why we picked this

    文章逐一列出纳指与标普的关键均线和回撤位，读者可据此理解本轮反弹的技术面依据与后续阻力。

11月11日周三
  1. ForexLive42

    纳斯达克期货反弹收复通道，27,780-27,813 成关键观察区

    纳斯达克-100 期货（NQ）在上周科技股抛售后反弹至约 28,227，重新收复日线通道，卖方压力减弱。11 月 10 日 10 时 NQ 上涨约 362 点但净 Delta 为负，显示激进卖盘未能压低价格，后续小时级正 Delta 配合上涨。27,780 前一日 POC 与 27,813 前一日 VWAP 构成关键区域，决定反弹能否延续。

11月10日周二
  1. ForexLive40

    黄金期货4小时图教学：突破、回测与续涨的简单形态

    黄金期货在4小时图上走出下降通道突破、回测$4,050-$4,070后再度上行，图表时点交投于$4,130附近，下一关注区域为$4,150-$4,160。文章以该形态讲解如何判断市场多空哪一方更强，强调突破不等于必然续涨，回测与确认同样关键。作者指出，即便使用均线、VWAP或斐波那契等不同策略，识别这类形态也能为交易方向提供额外证据。

  2. ForexLive42

    NZDUSD 触及 2025 年 4 月以来最低后，买方开始夺回主动权

    NZDUSD 上周五跌至 2025 年 4 月以来最低 0.5527 后反弹，美元回吐上周五部分涨幅，新西兰大选结果给纽元额外提振。初步计票显示 Luxon 领导的国家党联盟在 131 席中拿下 67 席，超过多数门槛一席。技术面上，买方收复 0.55791 旧支撑并守住 100 小时均线 0.5599，下一目标看向 0.5625-0.5633。

11月3日周二
11月2日周一
  1. ForexLive62

    黄金跌破4000美元后逼近100周均线关键支撑

    黄金上周五跌破$4,000关口，跌至一年多来最低，目前回落至$3,900附近，正逼近$3,882的100周移动平均线。作者认为该均线是图表上的关键分水岭，自2023年以来未被有效测试，若失守可能打开更深回调，下一支撑看向$3,500附近，200周均线约在$3,020。反弹方面，买方需先收复$4,000，才能重新看向$4,200。

  2. ForexLive65

    Can Gold Be Bought After the Sharp Pullback? A Gold Futures Trade Plan With a 15:1 Risk-Reward Ratio

    With gold in a descending channel and the weekly candle closing around $3,884.90, below the weekly EMA of around $4,270, the author presents a conditional pending long plan for COMEX gold futures: buy limit $3,826.30, stop loss $3,738.70, final target $5,139.90, with a potential risk-reward ratio of about 15:1.

    Editorial Comment

    This conditional long plan for COMEX gold futures is proposed against the backdrop of a sharp pullback in gold, with price in a descending channel and the weekly chart trading below the corresponding EMA. It provides a trading framework with a potential risk-reward ratio of about 15:1 for those seeking long exposure. Traders can focus on the logic behind its position management design and observe how the plan balances trade participation and entry precision through entry and stop-loss rules. The arrangements should be assessed for suitability based on one’s own risk tolerance, and the specific price-point parameters should not be copied directly.

    Why we picked this

    原文给出黄金期货做多的具体入场、止损与分批止盈方案，可观察交易者如何用仓位管理平衡参与度与入场精度。

10月29日周四
10月22日周四
  1. ForexLive79

    Trading Education: Gold Still Falls As Yields Fall, A Lesson From Trading Market Trends

    Gold was still down about $60, touching as low as $4,057.52, even as U.S. bond yields fell sharply. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield fell about 11 basis points to 5.03%, and the dollar was mixed, with dual tailwinds not fully established. The author uses the 100/200 moving average on the hourly chart to determine the direction, and points out that if it remains below 4066.21, the downside target area is 4000-4018, and sellers will continue to control before regaining the moving average.

    Editorial Comment

    This case shows that the falling U.S. bond yields and the mixed rise and fall of the US dollar did not form a typical double tailwind for gold. Gold still fell significantly, suggesting that short-term market logic may be dominated by technical factors or capital flows. The author uses the 100/200 moving average on the hourly chart as a reference for the long and short bias, and emphasizes that the seller controls the situation before recovering the moving average. This method based on the price structure rather than a single fundamental is worth learning from traders. Traders should pay attention to whether there is a divergence in the linkage between yields, the U.S. dollar, and gold, as well as reactions near key moving averages, rather than blindly relying on traditional correlations.

    Why we picked this

    作者以黄金在收益率下行时仍跌破 4066 美元为例，展示用小时均线判断多空偏向与风险目标的方法。