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#趋势交易
  1. ForexLive52

    U.S. stocks hit new intraday highs, with Nasdaq and S&P 500 returning above key moving averages

    U.S. stocks continued their gains and hit new intraday highs, with the Nasdaq Composite Index and the Nasdaq 100 Index gapping back above their 200-day moving average and 38.2% retracement level. The S&P 500 index rebounded to around 7635, regaining the 100-day moving average of 7621.82 and the 200 K-line moving average of 7622.85 in the 4-hour chart. The 7622 area has become the short-term risk boundary. The key resistance above the Nasdaq Composite Index is 25831.74, and the next target range for the Nasdaq 100 Index is 28822.67 to 28953.26.

    Why we picked this

    文章逐一列出纳指与标普的关键均线和回撤位，读者可据此理解本轮反弹的技术面依据与后续阻力。

  1. ForexLive65

    Can Gold Be Bought After the Sharp Pullback? A Gold Futures Trade Plan With a 15:1 Risk-Reward Ratio

    With gold in a descending channel and the weekly candle closing around $3,884.90, below the weekly EMA of around $4,270, the author presents a conditional pending long plan for COMEX gold futures: buy limit $3,826.30, stop loss $3,738.70, final target $5,139.90, with a potential risk-reward ratio of about 15:1.

    Editorial Comment

    This conditional long plan for COMEX gold futures is proposed against the backdrop of a sharp pullback in gold, with price in a descending channel and the weekly chart trading below the corresponding EMA. It provides a trading framework with a potential risk-reward ratio of about 15:1 for those seeking long exposure. Traders can focus on the logic behind its position management design and observe how the plan balances trade participation and entry precision through entry and stop-loss rules. The arrangements should be assessed for suitability based on one’s own risk tolerance, and the specific price-point parameters should not be copied directly.

    Why we picked this

    原文给出黄金期货做多的具体入场、止损与分批止盈方案，可观察交易者如何用仓位管理平衡参与度与入场精度。

  1. ForexLive79

    Trading Education: Gold Still Falls As Yields Fall, A Lesson From Trading Market Trends

    Gold was still down about $60, touching as low as $4,057.52, even as U.S. bond yields fell sharply. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield fell about 11 basis points to 5.03%, and the dollar was mixed, with dual tailwinds not fully established. The author uses the 100/200 moving average on the hourly chart to determine the direction, and points out that if it remains below 4066.21, the downside target area is 4000-4018, and sellers will continue to control before regaining the moving average.

    Editorial Comment

    This case shows that the falling U.S. bond yields and the mixed rise and fall of the US dollar did not form a typical double tailwind for gold. Gold still fell significantly, suggesting that short-term market logic may be dominated by technical factors or capital flows. The author uses the 100/200 moving average on the hourly chart as a reference for the long and short bias, and emphasizes that the seller controls the situation before recovering the moving average. This method based on the price structure rather than a single fundamental is worth learning from traders. Traders should pay attention to whether there is a divergence in the linkage between yields, the U.S. dollar, and gold, as well as reactions near key moving averages, rather than blindly relying on traditional correlations.

    Why we picked this

    作者以黄金在收益率下行时仍跌破 4066 美元为例，展示用小时均线判断多空偏向与风险目标的方法。

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