L
LinUpdate
2026年7月5日 01:20Update Moment
📊 Gold Weekly Review & Next Week’s Outlook
This week, gold staged a clear recovery from oversold conditions. Thursday’s US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) came in well below expectations, pushing back hawkish Fed bets and giving gold a strong bid.
Fundamental Analysis:
• Short-term: NFP miss → USD weakness → yields easing → room for gold to recover
• Medium-term: High interest rate environment remains intact. A strong dollar and elevated yields continue to cap gold’s upside. Q2 is shaping up to be the worst quarterly performance in years.
Technical Structure:
• Weekly: Eight-week losing streak snapped, but downtrend remains intact. Support at 3943, resistance at 4330
• Daily: Clear bullish recovery underway. Support at 4080-4120
• 4-hour: Strongest momentum. MACD expanding. Support at 4120-4150, resistance at 4220-4260
Next Week’s Strategy:
1. Buy dips into 4120-4150, target 4200-4220
2. Only sell on failure at 4220 with a confirmed reversal
3. Follow the bullish structure on the 4H/daily timeframe
Conclusion: Short-term bullish, medium-term bearish. Trade the recovery, but don’t mistake it for a trend reversal.
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Thought7/28/2026
$4026。日線趨勢還是偏多,這沒話說。但四小時線呢?$4050 那邊卡得死死的,連突破的邊都摸不到。 說真的,真正的關鍵在 $3980、$4000 附近的斐波那契密集區。每次看到這個區間,我都會屏住呼吸。你懂的,這裡就是多空決戰點。如果撐住了,創新高只是時間問題。如果跌破了——我就直接做空,目標 $3920。就這麼簡單。 我不預測,我只準備。 --- 這十年來,我在黃金創歷史新高時追高被套了三次。三次。你可能會想,第一次之後我就該學乖了吧?並沒有。
Thought7/28/2026
黃金報價 $4044,創歷史新高。 你知道大多數人在這種價位會幹嘛嗎?直接石化。就坐在那邊,等什麼神奇的「確認」訊號。等到他們圖表看起來安全了,行情早就跑完了。 這種事我經歷過。早在黃金還在 $2100 的時候,我的交易框架就長這樣,完全沒變過。 說真的,我桌上第一件事就是看日線趨勢。價格沒給出明確的更低高點之前,就是看漲。就這麼簡單。 你懂的,市場不會等你。